Ez meg egy eleg erdekes analogia

#209099 Hozzászólás

Joe
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Ez meg egy eleg erdekes analogia

a hoozaszolasok kozul:

“Unlike the lottery, someone doesn’t have to win in the game of life. A more apt analogy is as follows. Suppose you have a vat of marbles. Inside the vat are 100 trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion marbles. All of the marbles are red, except for one marble which is white. To win you have to pull out the white marble on the first try. While the chances of pulling out any particular marble is very low, the chances of blindly pulling out the white marble on the first try is even more improbable. And for this analogy to be applicable to the origin of the first cell, you would have to repeat your success another 249 times in 249 other vats containing the same number of marbles. The chances of you pulling out the while marble from each vat on the first try 250 times in a row is equal to the chances of life forming by chance on the early earth.”